SMALL PARTYObserved
Employment rate, age 16–64
75.1%
LFS estimate
Source: Labour market overview, UK: August 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
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Every quantitative statement should lead to the primary publication, the relevant period and the limits of what it proves.
Go straight to the publication behind the data. These links open ONS, OBR, NHS England and government statistical releases—not a manifesto or an unsourced summary.
Every number is labelled by what it is. Geography, period and qualifiers stay attached to every figure. A source can support the scale or context of a problem without proving that our proposed response will work.
Official sources are linked beside quantitative claims. Projections require a sourced baseline, mechanism, assumptions and low, central and high cases. Missing values remain missing: they are never interpreted as zero or filled with plausible-looking numbers.
Measurements imported from the evidence pack. Provisional, flash and estimated releases carry an additional Provisional qualifier because they may be revised.
Observed
75.1%
LFS estimate
Source: Labour market overview, UK: August 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
Observed
4.9%
LFS estimate
Source: Labour market overview, UK: August 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
Observed
20.9%
LFS estimate
Source: Labour market overview, UK: August 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
ObservedProvisional
707,000
Early estimate
Source: Labour market overview, UK: August 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
Observed
0.5%
Source: Labour market overview, UK: August 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
ObservedProvisional
0.7%
ONS preferred current approach
Source: Productivity flash estimate and overview, UK: April to June 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
ObservedProvisional
4.6%
Source: Productivity flash estimate and overview, UK: April to June 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
ObservedProvisional
171,000
Source: Long-term international migration, provisional: year ending December 2025 — Office for National Statistics, published
Observed
331,000
Source: Long-term international migration, provisional: year ending December 2025 — Office for National Statistics, published
Observed
944,000
Source: Long-term international migration, provisional: year ending December 2025 — Office for National Statistics, published
ObservedProvisional
£56.7bn
£2.3bn above OBR forecast
Source: Public sector finances, UK: July 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
ObservedProvisional
£2,984.9bn
Source: Public sector finances, UK: July 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
ObservedProvisional
94.1%
Source: Public sector finances, UK: July 2026 — Office for National Statistics, published
ObservedProvisional
£293,262
Source: UK House Price Index England: June 2026 — HM Land Registry, published
ObservedProvisional
1.8%
Source: UK House Price Index England: June 2026 — HM Land Registry, published
Observed
42,433
Not total English housebuilding
Source: Housing Statistics 1 April 2025 to 31 March 2026 — Homes England, published
Observed
40,332
Not total English housebuilding
Source: Housing Statistics 1 April 2025 to 31 March 2026 — Homes England, published
Observed
32,243
Source: Housing Statistics 1 April 2025 to 31 March 2026 — Homes England, published
ObservedProvisional
5,690,265
Source: Business population estimates 2025 — Department for Business and Trade, published
ObservedProvisional
5,681,930
99.85% of business population
Source: Business population estimates 2025 — Department for Business and Trade, published
ObservedProvisional
16,882,000
Source: Business population estimates 2025 — Department for Business and Trade, published
Observed
51.7%
Major Power Producers only
Source: Energy Trends and Prices: 28 May 2026 — Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, published
Observed
35.1%
Major Power Producers only
Source: Energy Trends and Prices: 28 May 2026 — Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, published
Observed
12.4%
Major Power Producers only
Source: Energy Trends and Prices: 28 May 2026 — Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, published
Observed
Wording constraint: Keep period and provisional qualifier.
Observed
Wording constraint: State June 2026 and provisional status.
Observed
Wording constraint: Do not infer 99.85% of employment or turnover.
Observed
Wording constraint: Debt is a stock, not annual spending.
Editorial rule
Wording constraint: Do not claim migration has zero impact; do not attribute structural failures without causal evidence.
These are modelling slots, not promises or measured results. Their values have intentionally not been filled.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values are missing—not zero—and remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Model permissions, starts, completions, construction capacity and lag. Do not invent uplift.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values are missing—not zero—and remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Use OBR baseline and published ready-reckoners/elasticities. Never assume a tax cut pays for itself.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values are missing—not zero—and remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: 0.7% is an observed YoY flash estimate, not a trend assumption. Model incremental effects separately.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values are missing—not zero—and remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Import official June 2026 national RTT totals before modelling demand, activity, workforce and productivity.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values are missing—not zero—and remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Separate work, study, family, humanitarian and British flows; model immigration and emigration.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values are missing—not zero—and remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Score policies against OBR baseline; reconcile interactions; separate direct, behavioural, macro and financing effects.
Supported claim: Housing affordability is a material problem: in 2023, a home in England cost 8.3 times average full-time annual earnings.
high confidence
Supported claim: Energy policy must assess security, affordability and emissions together because the UK energy system uses a changing mix of domestic and imported fuels and generation technologies.
medium confidence
Supported claim: Waiting times are a material NHS access problem: the published June 2024 return recorded millions of incomplete treatment pathways.
high confidence
Access dates show when we last checked a source. We will flag superseded or broken sources, preserve correction history and revise claims when stronger evidence changes the case.
If a source is missing, outdated or misrepresented, tell us without creating an account. Include the policy, claim and a direct source where possible.