Loading
The page is being prepared. Please wait.
The Small Party
Inspect the records behind our claims, including what they do not establish.
We keep four categories separate: observed measurements, official forecasts, Small Party scenarios and policy targets. Geography, period and qualifiers stay attached to every figure. A source can support the scale or context of a problem without proving that our proposed response will work.
Official sources are linked beside quantitative claims. Projections require a sourced baseline, mechanism, assumptions and low, central and high cases. A blank projection is better than a fabricated number.
Observed
Wording constraint: Keep period and provisional qualifier.
Observed
Wording constraint: State June 2026 and provisional status.
Observed
Wording constraint: Do not infer 99.85% of employment or turnover.
Observed
Wording constraint: Debt is a stock, not annual spending.
Editorial rule
Wording constraint: Do not claim migration has zero impact; do not attribute structural failures without causal evidence.
These are modelling slots, not promises or measured results. Their values have intentionally not been filled.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Model permissions, starts, completions, construction capacity and lag. Do not invent uplift.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Use OBR baseline and published ready-reckoners/elasticities. Never assume a tax cut pays for itself.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: 0.7% is an observed YoY flash estimate, not a trend assumption. Model incremental effects separately.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Import official June 2026 national RTT totals before modelling demand, activity, workforce and productivity.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Separate work, study, family, humanitarian and British flows; model immigration and emigration.
Small Party scenario Not yet modelled
No projection published. Low, central and high values remain blank until a sourced model is specified.
Modelling rule: Score policies against OBR baseline; reconcile interactions; separate direct, behavioural, macro and financing effects.
Supported claim: Housing affordability is a material problem: in 2023, a home in England cost 8.3 times average full-time annual earnings.
high confidence
Supported claim: Energy policy must assess security, affordability and emissions together because the UK energy system uses a changing mix of domestic and imported fuels and generation technologies.
medium confidence
Supported claim: Waiting times are a material NHS access problem: the published June 2024 return recorded millions of incomplete treatment pathways.
high confidence
Access dates show when we last checked a source. We will flag superseded or broken sources, preserve correction history and revise claims when stronger evidence changes the case.
If a source is missing, outdated or misrepresented, tell us without creating an account. Include the policy, claim and a direct source where possible.
SMALL PARTY